英國(guó)央行貨幣政策委員會(huì)投票決定將基準(zhǔn)利率維持在0.5%不變,，這是該行連續(xù)第25個(gè)月維持利率在歷史低位,，該委員會(huì)同時(shí)決定維持定量寬松計(jì)劃下2000億英鎊的國(guó)債購(gòu)買規(guī)模不變。受經(jīng)濟(jì)疲軟和通脹風(fēng)險(xiǎn)加劇雙重威脅的英國(guó)未來貨幣政策將如何,，超寬松的貨幣政策還能撐多久,？
IanM cCafferty,，CBI chief econom ic advi-ser said，“T
heshort-term datacontinuetocloudthe issue,，but there are grow ingrisks
ofinflationbecom ingm oreingrainedas firm s at-tem ptto bolstertheirprofitm
arginsandem ployees seekhigher w age rises inthe face of sharplyincreasedcosts
of energyandcom m odi-ties.”
英國(guó)工業(yè)聯(lián)合會(huì)(C B
I)首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家IanM cC
afferty表示,，“短期數(shù)據(jù)依然為利率決策蒙上陰影，但面臨不斷上漲的大宗商品成本，企業(yè)努力擴(kuò)大利潤(rùn),，員工也試圖爭(zhēng)取工資上漲,，通貨膨脹的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)還在繼續(xù)增長(zhǎng)�,！�(英國(guó)BBC新聞網(wǎng)站)
T hem ost likelyscenariois that therew
illbenorateriseuntil M ayat theearliest,，thefirst m eetingat w hichtheM PC w ill
havehadthebenefit of seeingG D P figures for thefirstquarterof theyear. A ssum
ing they do notsh ow that the U K has slipped furtherbackw ards，the date
shouldgive reassurance tothosew ithhaw kishinstincts ontheM PC thata rate rise w
on’t strangle the
recovery.
最有可能出現(xiàn)的情況就是英國(guó)央行最早于5月加息,，因?yàn)榈綍r(shí)英國(guó)央行貨幣政策委員會(huì)將獲知今年第一季度G D
P數(shù)字,，如果數(shù)字顯示英國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)沒有繼續(xù)后退，該委員會(huì)強(qiáng)烈反對(duì)加息的委員的態(tài)度將有所緩和,。(英國(guó)《獨(dú)立報(bào)》)
T heO fficeforN ational StatisticssaidFridaythat output
prices,，those chargedat thefactorygate，rose 5.3% from a year earlier. Itw
asthehighest ratesinceO ctober2008andaboveJanuary’s 5.0% inflationrate. H
igheroutput prices from producers w ill put pressureonretailers toincrease their
ow nprices,，poss-iblyfuelingfurther rises intheconsum
er-priceindexandspurringtheBO E totightenm
onet-arypolicy.
英國(guó)國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)辦公室上周五表示,，企業(yè)出廠價(jià)格2月較上一年增長(zhǎng)了5.3%，這是自2008年10月以來的最快增幅,，高于1月的5.0%,。出廠價(jià)格的上漲增加了零售商的漲價(jià)壓力，有可能進(jìn)一步引發(fā)消費(fèi)者價(jià)格指數(shù)的上漲,，使英國(guó)央行收緊貨幣政策,。(《華爾街日?qǐng)?bào)》)
Further clues ontheinterest-rateoutlookw ill com e next
T uesdayw ithpublicationof of-ficial U K consum erpricesdataforFebruary.Figures
last m onthshow edannual U K C PI in-flationrosefrom 3.7% inD ecem ber to4%
inJanuary - tw icethe2% target set fortheBankof Englandbythe
Treasury.
將于本周二公布的消費(fèi)者價(jià)格指數(shù)將提供判斷利率前景的更多線索。此前數(shù)字顯示英國(guó)去年12月和今年1月的消費(fèi)者價(jià)格指數(shù)分別達(dá)到3.7%和4%,，遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)超過央行預(yù)定的2%的目標(biāo),。(英國(guó)《獨(dú)立報(bào)》)
T he B ritish C ham bers ofC om m erce(BC C )w elcom
edthecentral bank’s decisiontoleave rates onholdbut saidthat
ongoingspeculationover interest rates couldharm business.“WhiletheM PC cannot
forecast itsfutureactions，the w ayit currentlycom m unicates
cancreateuncertainty. T heM PC m ust address thisinorder to give businesses andm
arket analystsagreater degreeof predictability.”saidD avidK ern,，chief econom ist
at the BCC .
英國(guó)商會(huì)對(duì)央行決定表示歡迎,，但同時(shí)也表示對(duì)于市場(chǎng)對(duì)于未來利率變化的猜想有可能對(duì)工商業(yè)不利。B C
C首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家D avid K ern表示,，“盡管央行貨幣政策委員會(huì)目前無法預(yù)測(cè)未來的決策,，但與市場(chǎng)的交流方式將產(chǎn)生巨大的不確定性，MP
C應(yīng)該給市場(chǎng)一定程度的可預(yù)測(cè)性,�,！�(英國(guó)BBC新聞網(wǎng)站)